A large area of showers and thunderstorms continues over the western Caribbean Sea... This low could develop into a tropical cyclone as it subsequently moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula early next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Florida Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent